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Despite the breaking Travis County’s all-time attendance record on the first day of early voting this year, total participation in this year’s elections ultimately fell more than 26,000 votes below 2020 levels.


Turnout was lower this year, even though Travis County has seen significant population growth since 2020. Nearly 613,000 people voted in the 2020 election, just over 71% of registered voters. This year, turnout dropped to 586,185 votes, about 63% of registered voters.


In percentage terms, turnout this year was also lower than in the 2016 elections, when just over 65% of registered voters cast their ballots.


Brandon Rottinghaus, a political science professor at the University of Houston, said the lower numbers may reflect a sense of voter apathy.


“Since Texas is a one-party state and has been for a long time, many Democratic voters have simply given up,” Rottinghaus said. “They don’t come to vote because they think their vote doesn’t matter. There is a mentality among voters that they want to make sure their vote counts. And if it feels like it’s not very red, Democratic voters will just stay home.”


Rottinghaus also said new residents and young voters may not show up to the polls.


“Travis County is a place that attracts young voters and new voters are much less likely to vote,” he said. “So even though the number of voters is increasing, the turnout is not because new voters, new to Texas voters, younger voters are just generally less likely to vote.”


Travis County has also consistently voted redder in recent elections.


During both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, approximately 27% of Travis County voters supported Donald Trump. This year that number has increased to more than 29%. While this may seem like a small increase, it translates into thousands of additional votes for Trump – about 44,000 more compared to 2016 and just over 9,000 more than in 2020.


“Travis County has been so bleak for so long that reversing the trend even slightly is certainly a signal that Republicans have done a very good job of motivating their base and executing their turnout strategy,” Rottinghaus said.




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